Sandy a galvanizing moment for climate change?

One Sunday afternoon in 1969 the filthy, oil-coated Cuyahoga River in Ohio caught fire and quickly became a potent symbol of industrial pollution, helping galvanize public opinion and set the stage for passage of national environmental laws the following decade.

The combination of Hurricane Sandy and New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg's announcement that he was endorsing President Obama largely because of Obama's actions on global warming could do the same thing for climate change, say scientists and political observers.

"This may be that sort of Cuyahoga River moment for climate change," said Michael Mann, a leading climate scientist and Penn State University professor. "It has galvanized attention to this issue and the role that climate change may be playing with regard to the intensification of extreme weather."

PHOTOS: Super storm Sandy

Coming on the heels of this summer's crop-withering drought in the Midwest and destructive wildfires in the West, Sandy provided a glimpse of what scientists say the nation can expect with global warming. Even before surging floodwaters choked Manhattan subway tunnels and left parts of the Jersey Shore in shambles, public acceptance of climate change was growing.

More than half of Americans now believe that climate change caused by human activity is occurring, and 58% say they are "somewhat" or "very worried" about it, according to a September poll by the Yale Project on Climate Change Communication.

"After this crazy weather we've been having the last several years ? Irene last year, Sandy this year, the drought, the fires, floods ? it's getting more and more difficult for people to deny what everybody sees with their own eyes," said New York climate scientist Scott Mandia, coauthor of a book on the rising sea level. "I think people are starting to connect the dots."

FULL COVERAGE: Super storm Sandy hammers Northeast

Bloomberg's Thursday endorsement of Obama thrust to the political forefront a topic that has been largely ignored this election season, eclipsed by concerns about jobs and the economy.

"Our climate is changing," Bloomberg wrote in his endorsementposted online. "And while the increase in extreme weather we have experienced in New York City and around the world may or may not be the result of it, the risk that it might be ? given this week's devastation ? should compel all elected leaders to take immediate action."

Coming from a wealthy businessman and a political independent, Bloomberg's focus on climate change could influence the thinking of Americans on the fence about global warming, said Joshua Freed, head of the clean energy program at Third Way, a centrist Washington think tank.

"He's a capitalist, a different type of person talking about climate change than an environmentalist or yet another elected official," Freed said.

Sandy's pummeling of the country's biggest metropolitan region made the effects of global warming real in a way that the melting of distant polar ice caps or the acidification of the world's oceans can't.

"It is of course true that you can't say that climate change created Sandy," said Mann, whose recent book, "The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines" chronicles the war over climate science.

But "Sandy was sitting on top of an ocean that in the vicinity of the New Jersey coast and the New York Harbor is a foot higher than it was a century ago because of sea level rise," Mann said. "So when we saw that record-breaking coastal surge of over 13 feet [in lower Manhattan], at least one of those 13 feet was due to global sea level rise."

TV footage of floodwaters swallowing the entrances to New York's subway system is bound to leave an impression in the national consciousness, said Cara Horowitz, executive director of UCLA's Emmett Center on Climate Change and the Environment. "I think you can't overstate the value of those images constantly barraging the American public."

Science policy analyst and University of Colorado professor Roger Pielke Jr. disagrees. "I'm pretty sure by Tuesday, Mayor Bloomberg and Sandy will probably be a back-page story," said Pielke, author of "The Climate Fix: What Scientists and Politicians Won't Tell You About Global Warming."

"The disaster du jour" doesn't spark the kind of sustained political support necessary to foster action on climate change, he said. "Disasters are quite normal in general. To try and make the case to people that we have an unusual or large number is kind of a hard case to make."

He added that his research has concluded there is no evidence that human-caused climate change has increased the toll of recent disasters when adjusted for rises in population and the nation's gross domestic product.

Other analysts also cautioned that Hurricane Sandy and the Bloomberg endorsement may not achieve as much as environmentalists and climate scientists hope in terms of political action.

With his Northeast pedigree and support of liberal causes like gun control, Bloomberg is not the kind of conservative icon whose acceptance of climate change could shake up the thinking of hard-core climate contrarians in red states and in the GOP.

Regardless of who is in the White House next year, Congress' dysfunction dims any chances for significant change. Polls suggest that the next Congress could look like this one, with a Democratic Senate and a House of Representatives controlled by conservative Republicans.

The interest in climate "is a transient phenomenon at best. There's more interest in improving safety in the face of extreme weather," said Kenneth Green, resident scholar on energy and environmental issues at the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think tank.

Still, some small shifts could occur in Sandy's wake among GOP members of Congress from blue states, said Rep. Edward J. Markey (D-Mass.), the ranking member of the House Natural Resources Committee.

"They can see Michael Bloomberg" and New Jersey's Republican governor and Mitt Romney backer "Chris Christie holding hands with the Democrats now, and it will affect Republican representatives from New Jersey, New York, Connecticut and even California," Markey said. "They'll have a much more difficult time in saying climate change isn't happening, and it will make it harder for them to align their voting with coal state representatives."

bettina.boxall@latimes.com

neela.banerjee@latimes.com

Boxall reported from Los Angeles and Banerjee from Washington.

Source: http://feeds.latimes.com/~r/latimes/news/science/~3/O_oGhgYVOAY/la-me-climate-politics-20121105,0,1093533.story

tyler clementi kevin kolb sarah shahi george clooney rutgers dharun ravi george clooney arrested

Your Management Style: Hopefully It's None Of These | Small ...

There are four kinds of managers that I have seen and heard much about. They find their way into one small business or another and just help things unravel. Sometimes the owner brings them right through the front door, tucked behind their own personality.

Mr. Or Ms. ?Over-Does-It? Says Too Much, Too Harshly?

The team can barely breathe around them. They?re the kind of manager that wants their employees to generate great ideas and innovative solutions. But they oppress the atmosphere and then wonder why nobody comes up with anything interesting.

Most of the time Mr. or Ms. ?Over-Does-It? is not coming from a bad place. They just want to keep a handle on things and the business moving forward.? Mostly, they don?t want a team of employees who are wasting time and money and who neglect the core business.

They know how to keep the doors open, but struggle with making room for creativity.

Mr. Or Ms. ?Head-In-The-Sand,? The Manager Who Never Addresses Anything

They?re everybody?s friend and nobody?s leader. The team enjoys their company. They can think around them. They can laugh and be silly. They can be themselves, good?bad?or indifferent.? They may be their favorite person, until there?s a problem.

Because Mr. or Mrs. ?Head-In-The-Sand? never addresses a single issues, their team can often be undisciplined and disrespectful to one other ? and them. With a leaderless leader as the head of the team there is no true voice of reason. Small issues tend to fester because they?re never addressed.

This can impact your company?s ability to innovate as the more creative team members may not feel safe enough to develop or promote their ideas.

Mr. or Ms. Depressed and Mr. or Ms. Overly-Ambitious

One is clearly in the wrong career path and barely hiding their sadness and disconnection from the work it takes to lead an effective team. The other is operating from the wrong motives, looking for countless opportunities to relentlessly promote themselves instead of the business, the customers or the team.

Remember, successful teams don?t manage themselves. The manager/the owner has to set the atmosphere for creativity, innovation, a little laughter, timeliness and respect. The goal is to have room for all those great ideas and a system for actually getting something done after the ideas come.

No business can dream all day. Somebody has to oversee the business of turning those dreams into reality.

Management Photo via Shutterstock

Source: http://smallbiztrends.com/2012/11/management-style.html

mary louise parker mary louise parker cher morgellons nhl all star draft touch nitrous oxide

Donnelly jumps to 11-point lead over Mourdock in Ind. Senate race (Los Angeles Times)

Share With Friends: | | Politics - Top Stories News, News Feeds and News via Feedzilla.

Source: http://news.feedzilla.com/en_us/stories/politics/top-stories/260173475?client_source=feed&format=rss

dfw 1930 census nike new nfl uniforms nfl uniforms andrew bailey the village dallas fort worth tornado

Tom Conrad On Pandora's Future - Business Insider

LinkedIn

Pandora CTO Tom Conrad

Pandora CTO Tom Conrad is remarkably calm for someone who has two of the largest tech companies in the world gunning for him.

He joined the Internet streaming music service in 2004 and helped create its namesake app, which has 58.3 million people listening in every month.?

The popularity of Internet music isn't lost on Apple or Microsoft. Apple bought Lala, a Pandora competitor, a couple of years ago, and is rumored to be adding music streaming to iTunes any day now.

And Microsoft has introduced Xbox Music, a Pandora-like service that's built into new Windows PCs, phones, and tablets. Pandora shares dipped after the announcement.

Why isn't Conrad worried?

He professes ignorance about Apple's plans. But he actually worked for Apple early in his career, building key features of the Mac OS. (Spring-loaded folders? He's got a patent for that.) And Pandora is a hugely important iPhone app?part of the ecosystem that makes Apple's smartphones so hot.?

Microsoft has recognized that, giving Windows Phone 8 users a free year of Pandora One, the ad-free premium subscription that normally goes for $36.?

Meanwhile, Conrad's team keeps improving the product?with its latest release, perhaps its biggest update ever, Pandora 4.0.

The new version adds more social features, like following and profiles. Subtle design changes make the app feel faster and fresher.

A bigger issue for Pandora is the regulatory structure under which it operates. Internet radio services get to avoid wrangling with labels over licenses by paying set fees. But regulators have made those prices much higher for Internet radio than for other audio broadcasters. In 2011, the streaming radio service paid over 50% of its revenues out as performance royalties, while SiriusXM paid less than 10%. So it's supporting a bill called the Internet Radio Fairness Act which would reform that pricing. Record labels are fighting it, naturally.

Through it all, Conrad exudes a calm confidence about Pandora's future.

The following is a lightly edited transcript of the conversation we had with Conrad.

Business Insider:?The Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg both reported last week that Apple was in talks with record labels to create what they called a "Pandora killer." What do you think about those reports?

Tom Conrad:?I don't know anything about what Apple's doing, so i can't speculate on that.

Pandora has faced competition from the first days of the service, all the way back in 2005, when we launched and Microsoft, Yahoo, and AOL were the biggest Internet radio players. Over the years we competed with MySpace Music, too.?

Through it all we've managed to stick with over 70% of all internet radio listeners. We've just announced that there are 175 million registered Pandora listeners.

But my sense about Apple entering streaming radio is that Pandora will continue to do the same things we've done all these years and the rest will sort itself out.

BI:?What are the odds of making headway with the labels over royalties? Many speculate that this is what is keeping the company's valuation down.?

TC: What we're focused on with respect to the licensing dimension is creating a level playing field so we're held to the same standards as satellite radio and all other forms of digital radio.?

That's why the Internet Radio Fairness Act is so important to us. We're really concerned with this kind of arcane U.S. copyright process. We've built a big successful business that continues to grow and we'll fight for equality and fairness on the licensing front. But the company's success isn't predicated on those changes.

BI: There's a huge opportunity in the proliferation of mobile devices in growing economies. How can you get Pandora to those people??

TC:?Pandora's international expansion is one of the things that's tied to licensing. We just recently announced ?an expansion into Australia and New Zealand, we're in beta there today, and will launch general availability in the coming months.

That's just one example of a region where we can negotiate to reasonable economic terms. We'll look to replicate that success in other countries over time.

BI:?Who do you see as Pandora's biggest competition? What do you think of Xbox Music?

TC: I?can say that generally I am not terribly competition-centric in my thinking of Pandora. We show up to work everyday with one goal, to make the best playlists in the world and get them in the hands of our listeners. With that focus, the competition sorts itself out.

If you look at how people consume music in the U.S., 80% of all music listening in the country is radio and Pandora is about 6% of that. The really big growth opportunity for us is taking on the mantle of being the future of radio and from that frame the competitors are traditional radio broadcasters.

In terms of Xbox Music, I haven't seen it. I've just read things, so I don't have a opinion about that.

BI:?Where do you see Pandora in the next six months to a year?

TC:?I'm excited about the huge investments we are making to ensure that the listening experience on Pandora is the best in the world. When listeners tune into a station we're focused on what songs we play and the order in which songs play, coupled with the familiarity and discovery that comes along with that. We think its important to pay attention to and improve how listening changes in a day and in a month. That's job No. 1 for us.?

And we have some great stuff coming. I'm?really excited about the job we're doing on the automotive front, when people buy a new car and bring it home, they can fully enjoy Pandora.

The last thing that's exciting for us is the release of Pandora 4.0. This is the first time we've had a consistent experience and amount of features across the Web, Android and iOS. This consistency is going to allow us to continue to enhance the experience on Pandora across those platforms. Now when we come up with a great new experience for the Pandora listener, we can roll that out across the platform. As a designer that's a huge upgrade from where we've been.

Don't Miss:?Here's Your First Look At Pandora Radio's Big Update For Smartphones >

Source: http://www.businessinsider.com/tom-conrad-pandora-interview-2012-11

fast times at ridgemont high fast times at ridgemont high soylent green phil davis george st pierre aldon smith friday night lights

Fundamental analysis 30 October 2012 | Inside Forex trading

Monday session was marked by a weak volatility again. This time a nature took part amended the market events. Hurricane Sandy, threatening the East coast of the USA, became the reason of closing some sectors of financial market, and it caused an absence of activity at the currency markets. In these conditions investors preferred the dollar as a shelter- currency, which had strengthened a little against its all main opponents. Beside this, fear of the situations in Spain and Greece supported the dollar, and also representatives of the Bank of England, which by their hints increased the expectations of mitigation from BoE supported the dollar. The USD/JPY pair was trading in a narrow corridor with the expectations of the Bank of Japan decisions about the volume of economic stimulation, and it also caused strengthening of the dollar. The US economy statistics published yesterday showed good results, and it more likely made the American currency more popular. Consumer expenses increased by 0.8% m/m in September,? and incomes increased by 0.4% m/m, but forecasts had estimated increase only by 0.6% m/m and 0.4% m/m correspondingly. ?The information from regions showed improvement of business activity in the industry sphere of Texas. According to the report of the FRS of Dallas, the total index of business activity increased by 1.8 in October from -0.9 in September. But the index components which refer to the perspectives, showed negative results? ? new orders index fell to -4.5 from 5.3, and employment index decreased to 5.2from 5.9. Today there will be a little important news ? house price index from S&P/Case-Shiller in 20 US megalopolises is estimated to increase by 2.0% y/y in? August after? +1.2% y/y in July, consumer confidence index from Conference board is estimated to improve to 72.4 against 70.3 earlier.

EUR

Spain situation and the expectations of decisions in Greece are continuing to influence the unified currency causing decrease of interest in it. The rise of incomes from assets of outlying countries of the Eurozone and bad index of Spain economy caused the weakening of the euro at the fisrt session this week. Information, demonstrated by Madrid, showed the fall of retail trade in September, the index fixed -10.9% y/y in comparison with August ? only 2% y/y. There is still uncertainty concerning the aid to Greece, as Athens and international creditors are not agreed. The top-manager of Germany stated that the idea of Greek debt restructuring at the expense of government?s means will not be considered , and that the program of its bay-back can attract the attention, but it can cause the printing-press turn on in the Eurozone and it naturally increase the euro trading. Except Spain statistics, German inflation statistics was published ? here price pressure I October remained at the same level ?- preliminary consumer 0prices index showed? 0.0% m/m, 2.0% y/y. Today there are much more news. First, market?s attention will focus on German employment statistics. It is estimated the increase of number of unemployment allowance appeals by 10 thousands and increase of the level by 6.9% from 6.8% in September. Beside this, the report of the European committee for October about the mood in business will be of great interest. This information may cause the decrease of business conditions index by -1.40 from -1.34, decrease of economic expectations index to 84.2 after 85.0 earlier, decrease of the confidence index in industry sector to -17.0 after -16.1 in September. Consumer confidence index is expected to be at the level -25.6. It is natural that such dynamics of results don?t support the unified currency and the pressure on the euro may continue.

GBP

British pound also fell against the dollar at Monday trading, and its weakening was more noticeable than the euro weakening. Maybe investor?s pound trading was caused by the announcement of the representative of the Bank of England, which strengthened the fear concerning a volume increase of the program of mitigation from ???, which has decreased after the announcement of the Head of this institute M. King last week and good GDP index of ?islands? for the 3^rd quarter. Yesterday the member of Monetary and Credit Policy Committee? of the Bank Of England S. Deil announced that British economy will more likely slow down suddenly in the last quarter of the year, and inflation will more likely increase by 2.5% in the nearest months. Such situation is not good for the British regulator, as on the one hand stimulus is needed, but such action may bring negative results in the conditions of high inflation. Home market statistics published yesterday also didn?t support the pound ? Hometrack report announced house price index in October didn?t have positive results, the index fixed -0.1%m?/m, -0.4% y/y after -0.1% m/m,-0.4% y/y? earlier. Information of the Bank of England about crediting was positive ?- the total consumer crediting increased by 1.7 milliard pounds in September, this index beat summer 2008 maximum, forecasts had estimated worse results ? only +0.2 milliard pounds. Nevertheless, non-financial companies debts continued to decrease, it testifies a business unconfidence and may influence the dynamics of money supply., which had decreased in September -? M4 aggregate showed? -4.0% y/y from ?-3.5% y/y in August. Today there are a little news about ?islands? economy, retail trade index from the Confederation of British Manufacturers (CBI) is expected to increase to +7 ? +6 for October. It is scarcely probable that it has changed a market mood. It is more likely that the pound will be under a little pressure or will be in trade on the current session.

JPY

The expectations of the Bank of Japan decision on the monetary policy caused the fluctuations of the Japanese currency in narrow corridors against all main opponents on Monday session. Today this long-awaited decision is made and its announcement disappointed the market ? the yen strengthened on all fronts. The Bank of Japan decided to increase the program of assets buying by 11 trillion yens, it coincided with the forecast, but it didn?t come up to the investors? expectations of more aggressive stimulation. The Land of the Rising Sun economy statistics demonstrated today shows that the situation in Japanese economy worsens ?- households expenses decreased in September by -0.9% y/y after 1.8% y/y, but it was expected ?0.8% y/y, the level of unemployment remained at the same level ?4.2%, and the preliminary estimation of the volume of industry production in September fixed bigger decrease than it was in the previous month and then the forecasts expected,? -4.1% m/m, -8.1% y/y after -1.6% m/m,? -4.6% y/y, it was expected -3.1% m/m, -7.1% y/y.? Concerning the nearest perspectives of the yen, its pressure may weaken as the bank of Japan may mitigate more ?- the manager of the Bank of Japan M. Sirakova has already announced that? widening of the stimulation program will continue.

Source: http://blog.forex4you.com/fundamental-analysis-30-october-2012/

crystal cathedral sxsw st. patrick s day brandon lloyd brandon lloyd celtic thunder fabrice muamba collapse

Former Reagan Sub Cabinet Official, Carlos C. Campbell, Endorses President Obama

Reagan Sub-Cabinet Official endorses President Obama for a second term and chastises former New Hampshire Governor John Sununu for injecting ethnicity into the endorsement by former Secretary of State Colin Powell.

Reston, VA (PRWEB) October 31, 2012

Reagan Sub-Cabinet official Endorses President Obama for Second Term and chastises former New Hampshire Governor John Sununu for injecting Ethnicity into the Endorsement by former Secretary of State Colin Powell.

The Honorable Carlos C. Campbell, formerly Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Economic Development with the US Department of Commerce endorsed President Barack Obama for a second term. ?President Obama has led the ship of state through a tumultuous storm, in spite of resistance by a Republican Congress obsessed with the politics of obstruction. I trust President Obama to lead America going forward. This is an issue based endorsement based on my experience in the military, government and business.?

Campbell responded to Governor John Sununu?s suggesting that Secretary Colin Powell?s endorsement of President Obama was based on ethnicity. ?When a man of Governor Sununu?s brilliance injects ethnicity into the Powell endorsement, it only underscores the desperation and moral bankruptcy of the Romney Campaign. Being a Republican is not a safe harbor from bigotry and with comments from the likes of the scholarly Sununu, it underscores the convention that there is no salvation in affiliation. Secretary Powell is on solid ground in exercising his independence. To his credit, he is not and never has been a domesticated Negro. As citizens, we have a mission to accomplish. We must not become distracted by the ugly snake of racism and lose sight of the assault from the Republican Right on democracy through deception, hundreds of millions of dollars in negative advertising, efforts to obstruct voting rights, demagoguery, fear mongering, disrespecting the rights of women and the rising trend of neo-fascism in America. Now is the time to focus.?

Fifty years ago, Campbell was strapped in a Navy reconnaissance aircraft flying patrols along the periphery of the Soviet Union during the Cuban Missile Crisis. This was under????DEFCON 2 when the US and the Soviet Union was on the brink of a nuclear war. The diplomatic resolution of this crisis gave Campbell, a Naval Aviator at the time, a unique appreciation for the power of the presidency unlike anything in his lifetime.

Secretary Campbell opined: ?President Obama has exercised ?reason and judgment? that Roman historian Tacitus (56-117 AD) said were the essential qualities of a leader.?

?I respect and applaud President Obama?s leadership as the Commander-in Chief. He kept his word about ending the war in Iraq. He is keeping his word about winding down the war in Afghanistan. President Obama has led from the Oval Office. He has led from Air Force One. He has led from the podium at the United Nations. The world is a safer place because of his strong and effective leadership.?

?President Obama has my trust to continue to lead America and the world. The First Lady has my respect, and gratitude for her work with returning warriors and veterans.?

Campbell, who worked for HUD Secretary George Romney from May 1969 through October 1972, said: ?Governor Mitt Romney lacks his father?s candor, courage, and character. Tragically, Mitt Romney appears to be a front for the Neo-Cons, as if he were both a Perfidious Puppet and an Officious Oligarch.?

In 2011 Campbell was elected to the Directorship 100 (The 100 most influential corporate directors in America) by the National Association of Corporate Directors. He stated: ?The economy is in recovery. Notwithstanding the deficit and debt challenges, the recovery will increase when Congress stops their obstructive ways and the Romney team stops their deceptive and ludicrous promises. Now is the time for Americans of civility, compassion, courage and good will to keep our ?Eyes on the Prize.?

Mr. Campbell, a native of Harlem, New York, has lived in the Commonwealth of Virginia since 1965. He is a businessman, filmmaker, author and serves on public company boards.

Contact

Carlos C. Campbell

President

Initiative Films, LLC.

11710 Plaza America Drive

Suite 2000

Reston, VA 20190

703 471-7174 / 703 403-2209 (Mobile)

loseagle(at)aol(dot)com

Carlos Campbell

703 471-7174
Email Information

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/former-reagan-sub-cabinet-official-carlos-c-campbell-070223860.html

stephen hawking marion barry virginia beach jet crash ridiculously photogenic guy amanda bynes dui ghost ship tiger woods masters

Australia: Chevron Chair of Gas Process ... - LNG World News

Chevron Australia congratulated the University of Western Australia?s Chevron Chair of Gas Process Engineering, Winthrop Professor Eric May, for winning the prestigious Malcolm McIntosh Prize for Physical Scientist of the Year.

Professor May was presented the award by the Australian Prime Minister at a special dinner at Parliament House in Canberra.

Chevron Australia managing director Roy Krzywosinski said he was delighted Professor May?s innovative research into gas process engineering had been recognised for this work which is helping improve the efficiency of liquefied natural gas (LNG) production and shape Perth as a gas technology centre of excellence.

?Professor May is a key partner in our Global Technology Company?s research and development activities in Australia. He has developed breakthrough techniques for measuring gas properties under critical conditions, enabling computer models to design and optimise gas processing plants,? Mr Krzywosinski said.

?He has the rare combination of deep technical ability, teaching and organisational skills and we are very fortunate to have him working with us on a number of projects.?

Run by the Department of Innovation, Industry, Science and Research, the Prize recognises Professor May?s outstanding early-career achievement in science that has the potential to benefit human welfare or society.

In 2009, Professor May became the first Chevron Chair in Gas Process Engineering (GPE). He heads natural gas research at the Centre for Energy, which covers LNG production, CO2 sequestration and gas processing. His PhD research on gas condensate phase behaviour resulted in an international patent and the UWA prize for making the most significant contribution to his field.

In 2010, he was named the Western Australian Early Career Scientist of the Year and in 2009, he won the Australian National Metrology Institute prize for his contributions to gas metrology.

Chevron has been a major partner of the Chair in GPE and recently extended its contract to a $5.75 million five-year fixed term agreement to endow the Chair in perpetuity.

The investment is part of Chevron?s global University Partnership Program, which partners with universities around the world to foster academic excellence, research capacity and to build key relationships.

LNG World News Staff, October 31, 2012

?

Source: http://www.lngworldnews.com/australia-chevron-chair-of-gas-process-engineering-wins-malcolm-mcintosh-prize/

mexico earthquake aziz ansari aziz ansari katherine jenkins peyton manning broncos mexico city earthquake stand your ground law